Author Archive for Mike Trudell

Lakers’ Lottery Odds

Boston Celtics v Los Angeles LakersWith just one game remaining in the 2013-14 season, we have a pretty good idea about the Lakers’ odds in the lottery for the 2014 NBA Draft.

INVERSE STANDINGS (Remaining Opponent):
1) Milwaukee: 15-66 (ATL)
2) Philadelphia: 18-63 (@MIA)
3) Orlando: 23-58 (IND)
4) Utah: 24-57 (@MIN)
5) Boston: 25-56 (WAS)
6) Lakers: 26-55 (@SAS)
7) Sacramento: 28-53 (PHX)
8) Detroit: 29-52 (@OKC)

With L.A.’s win at Utah on Monday evening, they assured that they’ll finish no lower than tied for fifth place with Boston, and no higher than sixth, the slot they currently occupy.

If Boston beats Washington at home, and the Lakers lose at San Antonio, both teams would finish 26-56 on the season. There are no tiebreaker rules used as with playoff teams for seeding, however. Both teams would receive the average of the total number of combinations for the slots that they occupy, and if the average number isn’t an integer, a coin flip is used to determine which team receives extra combinations. If neither team jumps into the top three of the lottery, that coin flip dictates which team would select fifth, and which team sixth.

So in short: to move into the fifth slot, L.A. would need a loss, plus a Boston win, and then a win in a coin flip versus the Celtics. The Lakers will have the sixth-best odds if they win at San Antonio, if Boston loses to Washington or if they lose the coin flip and neither team moves into the top three.

CHANCES FOR LANDING THE TOP OVERALL PICK:
1) 250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
2) 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3) 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
4) 119 combinations, 11.9% chance
5) 88 combinations, 8.8% chance
6) 63 combinations, 6.3% chance

In the lottery, a team can move no farther than three picks below its slot, and that’s in the extremely unlikely event that three lower team all move into the top three positions. Below are the odds of which selection the team with the fifth- and sixth-best odds will make:

Fifth Seed:
1st: 8.8*%; 2nd: 9.7%; 3rd: 10.7%; 4th: N/A; 5th: 26.1%; 6th: 36.0%; 7th: 8.4%; 8th: 0.4%
*In the case that the Lakers get the fifth seed, they’d have an 8.8 percent chance of receiving the No. 1 overall selection, a 9.7 percent chance at the second pick and so on.

Sixth Seed:
1st: 6.3%; 2nd: 7.1%; 3rd: 8.1%; 4th: N/A; 5th: N/A; 6th: 43.9%; 7th: 30.5%; 8th: 4.0%; 9th: 0.1%

The 2014 NBA Draft lottery takes places on Tuesday, May 20, and the Draft itself occurs on Thursday, June 26.

LAL 119, Jazz 104: 4/14 Running Diary

Los Angeles Lakers v Utah JazzBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s road contest at Utah with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Hill
Jazz: Burke, Burks, Hayward, Favors and Kanter





LAL 130, Rockets 145: 4/8 Running Diary

Houston Rockets v Los Angeles LakersBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against Houston with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Hill
Rockets: Lin, Harden, Parsons, Jones and Asik

FIRST QUARTER



SECOND QUARTER


THIRD QUARTER


Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers
FOURTH QUARTER

LAL 95, Mavs 107: 4/4 Running Diary

Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles LakersBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against Dallas with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Bazemore, Kelly and Hill
Mavs: Calderon, Ellis, Marion, Nowitzki and Dalembert

FIRST QUARTER


Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles Lakers
SECOND QUARTER



THIRD QUARTER


Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles Lakers
FOURTH QUARTER

Young Draining Triples

Portland Trail Blazers v Los Angeles LakersWhile his teammates were struggling to get going on offense in Tuesday’s loss to Portland, Nick Young … was not. He drained 15 of his 26 shots – including his first eight – to drop 40 points, thanks in no small part to a bunch of three-pointers.

Young hit six of his 13 three-point attempts, cooling down only in the second half after he hit three of his first four, keeping pace with a recent trend of half of his FGA’s coming from three.

Since returning from injury on March 21, Young’s averaging 20.9 ppg off the pine (up from 16.8 prior), and was attempting 48.2% of his FG’s from 3 before 13 of his 26 vs. POR. He’s hitting 46.3 percent of his bombs in that stretch (35.3% prior). Below is a shot chart of his efficiency from beyond the arc in his last seven games, courtesy of NBA.com/stats.

140401_young

That 40-spot is second only to the 42 points Jodie Meeks put on Oklahoma City on March 9.

LAL 115, Suns 99: 3/30 Running Diary

Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles LakersBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against Phoenix with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Bazemore, Hill and Kaman
Suns: Dragic, Bledsoe, Tucker, Frye and Plumlee

FIRST QUARTER


Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles Lakers
SECOND QUARTER




THIRD QUARTER


Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles Lakers
FOURTH QUARTER

LAL 107, Wolves 143: 3/28 Running Diary

140328_hillBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s road contest against at Minnesota with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Bazemore, Hill and Kaman
Wolves: Rubio, Martin, Brewer, Love and Pekovic

FIRST QUARTER


140328_nash
SECOND QUARTER



THIRD QUARTER


Los Angeles Lakers v Minnesota Timberwolves
FOURTH QUARTER

Young Poised to Return

Los Angeles Lakers v Miami HeatHaving completed a week’s worth of practices without a setback of the injured left knee that’s kept Nick Young out of 16 of the last 17 games, the swing man is expected to return for Friday night’s game against Washington.

“I’ll be out there against the Wizards,” said Young after Thursday’s practice. “I’ve been waiting. It’s tough to sit in the back and watch these games. I’ve been wanting to get out there from the time the second half of the season started.”

Young suffered a non-displaced fracture of the patella and a bone bruise after hyperextending his knee at Cleveland on Feb. 5. He returned to play 20 minutes off the bench against Brooklyn on Feb. 23, but has been out since after experiencing further soreness.

Mike D’Antoni said Young will return to his role off the bench, but tempered expectations for Friday evening.

“It depends on him,” said the coach. “You never know. He could be rusty, he could be rusty the third game, the first game, the second game, the second half, who knows. You just play it by ear and as long as he’s playing well, then he’ll stay on the floor. If not, then we’ll sub him in and out. It’s good to get him back and good to get him back in the flow.”

D’Antoni suggested that Jordan Hill could also be available to use against the Wizards, but will see how his knee responds to Thursday’s practice at Friday’s shootaround.

Young, who ranks second on the team in scoring at 16.8 points per game (Pau Gasol, 17.8), appears good to go.

“I’m feeling good,” he said. “I had a couple days to get a couple practices in and test it out and see how I feel out there.”

LAL 109, Spurs 125: 3/19 Running Diary

San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles LakersBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against San Antonio with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Gasol
Spurs: Parker, Green, Leonard, Duncan and Splitter

FIRST QUARTER


San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles Lakers
SECOND QUARTER



THIRD QUARTER


San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles Lakers
FOURTH QUARTER

Lakers Injury Update: March 17

Los Angeles Lakers v San Antonio SpursThe Lakers received some unfortunate injury news during Monday’s practice in El Segundo, where Jordan Farmar strained his right groin, adding to what’s already the league’s highest injury total for one team in years:

LAKERS GAMES MISSED TO INJURY:
Kobe Bryant: 60
Steve Nash: 54
Jordan Farmar: 30
Xavier Henry: 27
Steve Blake: 26
Nick Young: 16
Pau Gasol: 10
Chris Kaman: 6
Jordan Hill: 6
Jodie Meeks: 5
Wesley Johnson: 1
TOTAL: 241

Los Angeles Clippers v Los Angeles LakersPrior to Monday’s practice, it looked like the Lakers were on the verge of getting a couple of healthy bodies back in the short term: both Nick Young (knee) and Jordan Hill (also knee) returned to the court.

Young has played in just one of the last 17 games (20 minutes on Feb. 23 vs. BKN), while Hill’s been out since Feb. 28. Neither was cleared for full participation in a potential 5-on-5 scrimmage setting, however, so a potential return for Wednesday’s game against San Antonio is uncertain.

What’s less certain is the availability of Farmar, according to the information team spokesman John Black relayed on Monday afternoon:

Jordan Farmar suffered a right groin strain today in practice. He will see Dr. Podesta either later this afternoon or tomorrow morning and we will have an update on his condition and how long he will be out after he sees Dr. Podesta.

It’s no doubt a frustrating setback for Farmar. The point guard has shown flashes of excellent basketball this season, but has now been interrupted by injury on three separate occasions. First came a tear of his left hamstring on Dec. 1 that kept him out until Dec. 31, when he tore a different part of the hamstring.

He dropped eight three pointers in his return against Cleveland on Feb. 5, but re-aggravated the hamstring in the process. His latest return came on Feb. 19, and he’s averaged 12.7 points and 4.0 assists on 46.3 percent field goals and 48.4 percent from three in 22.6 minutes per game while splitting time with Kendall Marshall.

Stay tuned for more news on the groin, and how long it will keep him on the shelf.

Particularly if Farmar misses a few games or more, don’t rule out a potential return to the court for Steve Nash, who has continuing to work on his nerve root issues to stay ready should he be needed.