Lakers’ Lottery Odds

Boston Celtics v Los Angeles LakersWith just one game remaining in the 2013-14 season, we have a pretty good idea about the Lakers’ odds in the lottery for the 2014 NBA Draft.

INVERSE STANDINGS (Remaining Opponent):
1) Milwaukee: 15-66 (ATL)
2) Philadelphia: 18-63 (@MIA)
3) Orlando: 23-58 (IND)
4) Utah: 24-57 (@MIN)
5) Boston: 25-56 (WAS)
6) Lakers: 26-55 (@SAS)
7) Sacramento: 28-53 (PHX)
8) Detroit: 29-52 (@OKC)

With L.A.’s win at Utah on Monday evening, they assured that they’ll finish no lower than tied for fifth place with Boston, and no higher than sixth, the slot they currently occupy.

If Boston beats Washington at home, and the Lakers lose at San Antonio, both teams would finish 26-56 on the season. There are no tiebreaker rules used as with playoff teams for seeding, however. Both teams would receive the average of the total number of combinations for the slots that they occupy, and if the average number isn’t an integer, a coin flip is used to determine which team receives extra combinations. If neither team jumps into the top three of the lottery, that coin flip dictates which team would select fifth, and which team sixth.

So in short: to move into the fifth slot, L.A. would need a loss, plus a Boston win, and then a win in a coin flip versus the Celtics. The Lakers will have the sixth-best odds if they win at San Antonio, if Boston loses to Washington or if they lose the coin flip and neither team moves into the top three.

CHANCES FOR LANDING THE TOP OVERALL PICK:
1) 250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
2) 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3) 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
4) 119 combinations, 11.9% chance
5) 88 combinations, 8.8% chance
6) 63 combinations, 6.3% chance

In the lottery, a team can move no farther than three picks below its slot, and that’s in the extremely unlikely event that three lower team all move into the top three positions. Below are the odds of which selection the team with the fifth- and sixth-best odds will make:

Fifth Seed:
1st: 8.8*%; 2nd: 9.7%; 3rd: 10.7%; 4th: N/A; 5th: 26.1%; 6th: 36.0%; 7th: 8.4%; 8th: 0.4%
*In the case that the Lakers get the fifth seed, they’d have an 8.8 percent chance of receiving the No. 1 overall selection, a 9.7 percent chance at the second pick and so on.

Sixth Seed:
1st: 6.3%; 2nd: 7.1%; 3rd: 8.1%; 4th: N/A; 5th: N/A; 6th: 43.9%; 7th: 30.5%; 8th: 4.0%; 9th: 0.1%

The 2014 NBA Draft lottery takes places on Tuesday, May 20, and the Draft itself occurs on Thursday, June 26.

Young Drops Season-High 41 Points

young_postgameTied at 86 heading to the fourth quarter at Utah, L.A. opened the period on a 23-3 run, spurred by Nick Young’s hot shooting from the floor.

He scored nine of the first 11 Laker points of the quarter and 17 altogether in the final frame. The USC product finished with a season-high 41 points, and shot an efficient 14 of 23 on field goals and 6 of 11 on three-pointers.

“He can get his shot off against anybody,” coach Mike D’Antoni said postgame. “And when he gets on rolls, he’s uncanny about how he can score the basketball.” 140414_young

In the last five games, Young is averaging 26.0 points on 50.6 percent field goals and 43.8 percent on three-pointers. He’s hit the 40-point mark on two separate occasions and hit at least six triples three times in April. Post All-Star break, the swingman has been sharp from beyond the arc, hitting at a 46.0 percent clip. 140414_young_threes

Lakers-Jazz Postgame Numbers

Los Angeles Lakers v Utah JazzWe broke down some of the more intriguing numbers from LAL’s 119-104 win at Utah:

60.0
Percentage of field goals made by the Lakers in the fourth quarter as they outscored the Jazz 33-18. Knotted up at 86 apiece at the end of the third, L.A. reeled off a 23-3 run to open the final frame en route to snapping their seven-game skid.

41
Points for Nick Young off the bench (14 of 23 field goals, 6 of 11 three’s), besting his season high of 40 vs. Portland on Apr. 1. Young caught fire in the fourth quarter when he poured in 17, including nine in a row at one point. Below is a shot chart of his efficiency from the floor, courtesy of NBA.com/stats.140414_young

18
Turnovers forced by the Lakers that led to 29 points (five in the deciding fourth quarter that led to 11 points). “Tonight, they were turnovers that didn’t give us an opportunity to get back and make stops,” Jazz coach Tyrone Corbin said. “They made us pay for them.”

15
Assists for Kendall Marshall, 11 of which came in the first half. It was his third double-digit assist effort in April and his sixth such game this season with at least 15 dimes.

5
Steals for Wesley Johnson, to go along with 12 points, six boards, four assists and three blocks. In the last five games, Johnson is averaging 11.2 points, 7.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 2.2 steals while shooting 50.0 percent from beyond the arc.

LAL 119, Jazz 104: 4/14 Running Diary

Los Angeles Lakers v Utah JazzBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s road contest at Utah with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Hill
Jazz: Burke, Burks, Hayward, Favors and Kanter





Lakers-Grizzlies Postgame Numbers

Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles LakersWe broke down some of the more intriguing numbers from LAL’s 102-90 loss against Memphis:

52
Rebounds for Memphis, 16 of which came on the offensive end. Overall, the Grizzlies held a plus-20 edge on the glass in part due to their size advantage in the frontcourt with Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph, plus Kosta Koufos and Ed Davis off the bench.

31
Fastbreak points for the Lakers compared to nine for the Grizzlies. In the last five, L.A. is averaging 23.0 points in transition, which would rank first in the league (the Clippers currently top the NBA with 18.8 fastbreak points per game).

29
Assists for the Lakers on 35 made field goals. L.A.’s backcourt of Kendall Marshall and Jordan Farmar combined for 16 dimes, while three others added at least three apiece (Wesley Johnson, Ryan Kelly and Jordan Hill).

24
Plus-rating for Marc Gasol, a team high. The big man recorded 18 points, 15 rebounds, four assists and three steals, and keyed the Grizzlies third-quarter run that saw them stretch their halftime lead from a single point to 18 entering the fourth.

15
Rebounds for Johnson – a career high – to go along with 15 points and four assists in a team-high 40 minutes. It was his third double-double of the year and his third double-digit rebounding effort in the last six games.

LAL 90, Grizzlies 102: 4/13 Running Diary


Below is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against Memphis with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Hill
Grizzlies: Conley, Lee, Prince, Randolph and Gasol



Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Lakers





Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Lakers

Gasol Ruled Out for Rest of the Season

Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers

Lakers Prep for Home Regular-Season Finale

140412_youngWhile the Lakers go into Sunday’s matchup vs. Memphis losers of their last six, the Grizzlies are battling for one of the final two playoff spots with Dallas and Phoenix.

Marc Gasol, who missed 23 games earlier this season with a sprained MCL, is one of the key reasons for Memphis’ success. Since his return to the lineup, the Grizzlies have rattled off a 30-13 record. With him out of the lineup, they went 10-13.

Gasol has come on strong of late in particular, averaging 20.5 points and 12.0 rebounds on 60.7 percent field goals in wins over Miami and Philly in the last two.

While Marc has been instrumental in the Grizzlies’ postseason push, older brother, Pau, has been sidelined the last five games and nine of the last 10 due to vertigo. Pau, as well as Steve Nash (nerve root irritation), did not practice on Saturday and both are being listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game. Chris Kaman, who has also missed the last five, went through basketball-related activities but is still doubtful to play.

After Friday’s game vs. Golden State, the Lakers set a franchise low for most losses in a season with 54, although a rash of injuries and a lack of continuity in the starting lineup have attributed to that factor.

“We started off with everybody in place,” Nick Young said. “And when people get hurt, it forces other people to play different roles and play out of rhythm.”

Young, who missed 17 games total earlier this season, has come on strong of late, averaging 24.3 points on 49.5 percent field goals and 42.6 percent on three-pointers in April. Despite the up-and-down season, the L.A. native had nothing but positive things to say about his time here.

“For me personally, it was great,” he said. “Even though we kept losing, I got an opportunity to play at home, play for the Lakers and I learned a lot being around Kobe (Bryant) and (Steve) Nash and the coaching staff and I think it helped my game blossom.”

Jodie Meeks’ game has also improved considerably from a year ago. Meeks is currently posting career bests across the board in points (15.6), rebounds (2.6), assists (1.8), steals (1.4) and field-goal percentage (45.6), while logging a team-high 33.1 minutes per game.

“I’ve gotten more minutes and coach Mike D’Antoni has given me a lot of confidence to go out there and play freely,” he said. “He doesn’t worry about mistakes as long as you’re playing hard. He gives you a lot of rope to do what you have to do and play your game.”

As for the final three games of the regular season, Meeks hopes to see the team end on a high note to end the season.

“Collectively as a group, we want to finish strong,” he said. “You can accomplish something every game. For the most part, we want to go out, not give up and keep playing hard. We have a good opportunity the last game at home to try and come out with a good mindset and try to get that win.”

Lakers-Warriors Postgame Numbers

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles LakersWe broke down some of the more intriguing numbers from LAL’s 112-95 loss against Golden State:

19
Plus-rating for David Lee in his return to the Warriors lineup after a seven-game absence (hamstring). Lee posted his 34th double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds in 25 minutes off the bench.

13
Double-doubles for Jordan Hill this year as he scored 18 points and grabbed 12 rebounds. While Pau Gasol (vertigo) and Chris Kaman (calf) continued to be sidelined, Hill is averaging 16.8 points, 10.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and 1.2 steals in April.

11
Game-losing streak snapped by the Warriors in Los Angeles with the win. In the process, Golden State won the series for the first time since the 1994-95 season.

4
Triple-doubles for Stephen Curry this season after recording 30 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds. Curry became the first Warrior to have at least four triple-doubles in a season since Wilt Chamberlain had five in 1962-63.

3
Three-pointers for Steve Blake towards 13 points, his highest scoring game as a Golden State Warrior. Blake also added five rebounds, five assists and two steals in 30 minutes.

LAL 95, Warriors 112: 4/11 Running Diary

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles LakersBelow is a running diary of L.A.’s home contest against Golden State with comments drawn from Mike Trudell’s @LakersReporter Twitter account, to ensure you’re covered from start to finish:

Starters
Lakers: Marshall, Meeks, Johnson, Kelly and Hill
Warriors: Curry, Thompson, Barnes, Green and Bogut

FIRST QUARTER


Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers
SECOND QUARTER



THIRD QUARTER


Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers
FOURTH QUARTER